Diagnostic and prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA in gastric cancer: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has offered a minimally invasive approach for detection and measurement of gastric cancer (GC). However, its diagnostic and prognostic value in gastric cancer still remains unclear. RESULTS A total of 16 studies comprising 1193 GC patients met our inclusion criteria. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.62 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.59-0.65) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.93-0.96), respectively. The AUSROC (area under SROC) curve was 0.94 (95% CI 0.89-0.98). The results showed that the presence of certain ctDNA markers was associated with larger tumor size (OR: 0.26, 95% CI 0.11-0.61, p = 0.002), TNM stage (I + II/III + IV, OR: 0.11, 95% CI 0.07-0.17, p = 0.000), as well as H. pylori infection. (H.p negative/H.p positive, OR: 0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.91, p = 0.018). Moreover, there was also a significant association between the presence of ctDNA and worse overall survival (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.38-2.28, p < 0.001), as well as disease-free survival (HR 4.36, 95% CI 3.08-6.16, p < 0.001). MATERIALS AND METHODS Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were searched for relating literature published up until November 30, 2016. Diagnostic accuracy variables were pooled by the Meta-Disc software. Engauge Digitizer and Stata software were applied for prognostic data extraction and analysis. CONCLUSIONS Our meta-analysis indicates the detection of certain ctDNA targets is significantly associated with poor prognosis of GC patients, with high specificity and relatively moderate sensitivity.